2018 Dubai Future Champions Festival

2018 Dubai Champions Day Festival Betting Preview and Odds

For racing lovers who enjoy the challenge of identifying potential superstars, the Dubai Future Champions Festival is one of their favourite events of the year. All races take place on the famed Rowley Mile course. Although there are numerous high-quality races featuring horses of all ages, all eyes are on the big events featuring 2yos.

With seven Group races and two further Listed events, the 2018 Dubai Future Champions Festival delivers on its promise of showcasing some of the world’s finest young horses. As always, I preview three of the main events; all of them are for 2yo runners only.

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Additionally, I’ll be comparing the betting odds across three trusted racing bookmakers for each featured race. Once you’ve made your picks, you can use these tables to get the best odds possible for your wagers.

Bet365 Fillies’ Mile

12 October

This is a Group 1 race that was established in 1973. It takes place over one mile and was first run at Ascot. It was ultimately elevated to Group 1 status in 1990 but remained at Ascot until 2011 when it was moved to Newmarket (it was run there once in 2005 when Ascot was closed for redevelopment). It has only been a regular feature of the Future Champions Festival since 2014. As the winner receives over £283,000, you can expect an incredibly strong field.

Previous Winners

Year Winner Odds (SP)
2013 Chriselliam 28/1
2014 Together Forever 7/1
2015 Minding 5/4
2016 Rhododendron 5/2
2017 Laurens 10/1

Betting Trends and Information

At the time of writing, there are 8 confirmed runners with Antonia De Vega and Hermosa both available at 7/2. The rest of the field are 4/1+.

  • 15/21 winners won their previous race; 20/21 winners finished in the top 3 in their previous race.
  • 20/21 winners did so at SP odds of 10/1 or less.
  • 19/21 winners were in the top 4 in the betting market.
  • The last 14 winners last ran 29 days or less before the race.
  • 19/21 winners had 2-4 season runs.

This is not a race for the outsider, and only five of the runners are available at odds of 10/1 or less. Indeed, if we focus solely on the trends, only Hermosa remains. She won a Group 3 last time out, and with the legendary Aiden O’Brien as the trainer, she is the one to beat.

Ante Post Betting Odds

RaceBets.com Unibet.com WilliamHill.com
Antonia De Vega 3/1 3/1 10/3
Zagitova 7/2 7/2 4/1
Hermosa 7/2 3/1 10/3
Pretty Pollyanna 9/2 4/1 4/1
Shambolic 7/1 8/1 15/2
Beyond Reason 10/1 11/1 11/1
Layaleena 20/1 20/1 20/1
Iridessa 25/1 28/1 25/1
www.racebets.com www.unibet.com www.williamhill.com

Masar Godolphin Autumn Stakes

13 October

This is a Group 3 event that takes place over one mile. Established in 1987, the Autumn Stakes followed the lead of the Fillies’ Mile by initially taking place at Ascot. It was promoted to Group 3 status in 2003 and moved to Newmarket in 2011. It has been part of the festival since 2015, and the best performers normally run in the Racing Post Trophy at Doncaster later in the month.

Previous Winners

Year Winner Odds (SP)
2013 Kingston Hill 15/2
2014 Commemorative 10/1
2015 Gifted Master 4/1
2016 Best Solution 12/1
2017 Ghaiyyath 11/4

Betting Trends and Information

Although there are 22 potential runners at the time of writing, the Autumn Stakes normally has 8-10 runners. At present, Persian King is the 11/4 favourite followed by Cape of Good Hope and Kadar at 7/1. The rest of the field is 8/1+.

  • 15/20 winners won their last race; 20/20 winners finished in the top 4 in their last race.
  • 18/20 winners did so at SP odds of 12/1 or less.
  • 15/20 winners were in the top 3 in the betting market.
  • 20/20 winners last ran 30 days or less before the race.
  • 19/20 winners had not run a race over a distance longer than a mile.

This is a tough race to analyse because the field will be halved by race time. We can narrow the existing field down to nine contenders just by checking the odds. We can’t analyse this race further until the final line-up has been announced.

Ante Post Betting Odds

RaceBets.com ComeOn.com WilliamHill.com
Persian King 9/4 2/1 9/4
Cape Of Good Hope 11/2 6/1 6/1
Sydney Opera House 6/1 6/1 6/1
Kadar 6/1 11/2 7/1
Magna Grecia 13/2 7/1 7/1
Royal Meeting 10/1 10/1 12/1
Prince Eiji 10/1 10/1 9/1
Kuwait Currency 10/1 11/1 10/1
Circus Maximus 10/1 11/1 10/1
Norway 14/1 14/1 14/1
Western Australia 16/1 18/1 20/1
Victory Command 20/1 20/1 20/1
Massam 20/1 20/1 20/1
Felix The Poet 20/1 22/1 25/1
Certain Lad 20/1 20/1 20/1
Fanaar 25/1 22/1 28/1
Duke Of Hazzard 25/1 25/1 25/1
Accordance 25/1 22/1 25/1
Blonde Warrior 28/1 28/1 25/1
Omnivega 33/1 40/1 20/1
Boerhan 33/1 33/1 33/1
You Never Can Tell 40/1 40/1 40/1
www.racebets.com www.comeon.com www.williamhill.com

Darley Dewhurst Stakes

13 October

This Group 1 event is open to Colts and Fillies (but not Geldings) and takes place over a distance of 7 furlongs. It is widely regarded as the most prestigious race for juveniles in the UK. It was first run in 1875 and was part of the newly formed Future Champions Day in 2011.

Leading performers normally feature in one of the Classics in the following season. The first four winners all won at least one of the following year’s Classics, and it’s a trend that has continued until today. Churchill won the race in 2016 and succeeded in capturing the 2,000 Guineas in 2017. Aiden O’Brien is the trainer to watch as he has won the Dewhurst Stakes in four of the last five years, and six times in total.

Previous Winners

Year Winner Odds (SP)
2013 War Command 10/11
2014 Belardo 10/1
2015 Air Force Blue 4/6
2016 Churchill 8/11
2017 U.S. Navy Flag 5/1

Betting Trends and Information

At the time of writing, there are 12 runners with Too Darn Hot the Even Money favourite. Sangarius is the second favourite at 3/1 with the rest of the field 5/1+.

  • 18/21 winners were in the three inside stalls or the three outside stalls. There have been no winners from stalls 4, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10, or 11 in the last 20 years.
  • 13/21 winners won their last race; 20/21 finished in the top 5 and the only exception was a horse having its first run.
  • Only two odds-on favourites have failed to win the race from nine runners.
  • 11/21 favourites have won the race.

The Dewhurst Stakes has become a race for short-odds favourites in recent years, but that’s down to the dominance of Aiden O’Brien. However, it is the John Gosden trained Too Darn Hot that is the clear favourite and is likely to be odds-on by race time. Given the record of odds-on horses in this race, plus the fact that Too Darn Hot is saddled by big race legend Frankie Dettori, everything points in this fine horse’s direction.

Ante Post Betting Odds

Racebets.com ComeOn.com WilliamHill.com
Too Darn Hot 10/11 5/6 10/11
Sangarius 3/1 11/4 11/4
Anthony Van Dyck 5/1 10/3 3/1
Advertise 7/1 7/1 7/1
Mohawk 18/1 16/1 20/1
Kuwait Currency 25/1 25/1 25/1
Christmas 25/1 25/1 25/1
Sydney Opera House 50/1 50/1 50/1
Western Australia 66/1 66/1 66/1
Van Beethoven 66/1 66/1 66/1
Cape Of Good Hope 66/1 66/1 66/1
www.racebets.com www.comeon.com www.williamhill.com

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