2018 Dubai Champions Day Festival Betting Preview and Odds

For racing lovers who enjoy the challenge of identifying potential superstars, the Dubai Future Champions Festival is one of their favourite events of the year. All races take place on the famed Rowley Mile course. Although there are numerous high-quality races featuring horses of all ages, all eyes are on the big events featuring 2yos.

With seven Group races and two further Listed events, the 2018 Dubai Future Champions Festival delivers on its promise of showcasing some of the world’s finest young horses. As always, I preview three of the main events; all of them are for 2yo runners only.


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Additionally, I’ll be comparing the betting odds across three trusted racing bookmakers for each featured race. Once you’ve made your picks, you can use these tables to get the best odds possible for your wagers.

Bet365 Fillies’ Mile

12 October

This is a Group 1 race that was established in 1973. It takes place over one mile and was first run at Ascot. It was ultimately elevated to Group 1 status in 1990 but remained at Ascot until 2011 when it was moved to Newmarket (it was run there once in 2005 when Ascot was closed for redevelopment). It has only been a regular feature of the Future Champions Festival since 2014. As the winner receives over £283,000, you can expect an incredibly strong field.

Previous Winners

YearWinnerOdds (SP)
2013Chriselliam28/1
2014Together Forever7/1
2015Minding5/4
2016Rhododendron5/2
2017Laurens10/1

Betting Trends and Information

At the time of writing, there are 8 confirmed runners with Antonia De Vega and Hermosa both available at 7/2. The rest of the field are 4/1+.

  • 15/21 winners won their previous race; 20/21 winners finished in the top 3 in their previous race.
  • 20/21 winners did so at SP odds of 10/1 or less.
  • 19/21 winners were in the top 4 in the betting market.
  • The last 14 winners last ran 29 days or less before the race.
  • 19/21 winners had 2-4 season runs.

This is not a race for the outsider, and only five of the runners are available at odds of 10/1 or less. Indeed, if we focus solely on the trends, only Hermosa remains. She won a Group 3 last time out, and with the legendary Aiden O’Brien as the trainer, she is the one to beat.

Ante Post Betting Odds

RaceBets.comUnibet.comWilliamHill.com
Antonia De Vega3/13/110/3
Zagitova7/27/24/1
Hermosa7/23/110/3
Pretty Pollyanna9/24/14/1
Shambolic7/18/115/2
Beyond Reason10/111/111/1
Layaleena20/120/120/1
Iridessa25/128/125/1
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Masar Godolphin Autumn Stakes

13 October

This is a Group 3 event that takes place over one mile. Established in 1987, the Autumn Stakes followed the lead of the Fillies’ Mile by initially taking place at Ascot. It was promoted to Group 3 status in 2003 and moved to Newmarket in 2011. It has been part of the festival since 2015, and the best performers normally run in the Racing Post Trophy at Doncaster later in the month.

Previous Winners

YearWinnerOdds (SP)
2013Kingston Hill15/2
2014Commemorative10/1
2015Gifted Master4/1
2016Best Solution12/1
2017Ghaiyyath11/4

Betting Trends and Information

Although there are 22 potential runners at the time of writing, the Autumn Stakes normally has 8-10 runners. At present, Persian King is the 11/4 favourite followed by Cape of Good Hope and Kadar at 7/1. The rest of the field is 8/1+.

  • 15/20 winners won their last race; 20/20 winners finished in the top 4 in their last race.
  • 18/20 winners did so at SP odds of 12/1 or less.
  • 15/20 winners were in the top 3 in the betting market.
  • 20/20 winners last ran 30 days or less before the race.
  • 19/20 winners had not run a race over a distance longer than a mile.

This is a tough race to analyse because the field will be halved by race time. We can narrow the existing field down to nine contenders just by checking the odds. We can’t analyse this race further until the final line-up has been announced.

Ante Post Betting Odds

RaceBets.comComeOn.comWilliamHill.com
Persian King9/42/19/4
Cape Of Good Hope11/26/16/1
Sydney Opera House6/16/16/1
Kadar6/111/27/1
Magna Grecia13/27/17/1
Royal Meeting10/110/112/1
Prince Eiji10/110/19/1
Kuwait Currency10/111/110/1
Circus Maximus10/111/110/1
Norway14/114/114/1
Western Australia16/118/120/1
Victory Command20/120/120/1
Massam20/120/120/1
Felix The Poet20/122/125/1
Certain Lad20/120/120/1
Fanaar25/122/128/1
Duke Of Hazzard25/125/125/1
Accordance25/122/125/1
Blonde Warrior28/128/125/1
Omnivega33/140/120/1
Boerhan33/133/133/1
You Never Can Tell40/140/140/1
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Darley Dewhurst Stakes

13 October

This Group 1 event is open to Colts and Fillies (but not Geldings) and takes place over a distance of 7 furlongs. It is widely regarded as the most prestigious race for juveniles in the UK. It was first run in 1875 and was part of the newly formed Future Champions Day in 2011.

Leading performers normally feature in one of the Classics in the following season. The first four winners all won at least one of the following year’s Classics, and it’s a trend that has continued until today. Churchill won the race in 2016 and succeeded in capturing the 2,000 Guineas in 2017. Aiden O’Brien is the trainer to watch as he has won the Dewhurst Stakes in four of the last five years, and six times in total.

Previous Winners

YearWinnerOdds (SP)
2013War Command10/11
2014Belardo10/1
2015Air Force Blue4/6
2016Churchill8/11
2017U.S. Navy Flag5/1

Betting Trends and Information

At the time of writing, there are 12 runners with Too Darn Hot the Even Money favourite. Sangarius is the second favourite at 3/1 with the rest of the field 5/1+.

  • 18/21 winners were in the three inside stalls or the three outside stalls. There have been no winners from stalls 4, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10, or 11 in the last 20 years.
  • 13/21 winners won their last race; 20/21 finished in the top 5 and the only exception was a horse having its first run.
  • Only two odds-on favourites have failed to win the race from nine runners.
  • 11/21 favourites have won the race.

The Dewhurst Stakes has become a race for short-odds favourites in recent years, but that’s down to the dominance of Aiden O’Brien. However, it is the John Gosden trained Too Darn Hot that is the clear favourite and is likely to be odds-on by race time. Given the record of odds-on horses in this race, plus the fact that Too Darn Hot is saddled by big race legend Frankie Dettori, everything points in this fine horse’s direction.

Ante Post Betting Odds

Racebets.comComeOn.comWilliamHill.com
Too Darn Hot10/115/610/11
Sangarius3/111/411/4
Anthony Van Dyck5/110/33/1
Advertise7/17/17/1
Mohawk18/116/120/1
Kuwait Currency25/125/125/1
Christmas25/125/125/1
Sydney Opera House50/150/150/1
Western Australia66/166/166/1
Van Beethoven66/166/166/1
Cape Of Good Hope66/166/166/1
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