2018 Royal Ascot
Events

Your Guide to Betting on the 2018 Royal Ascot Festival

As the name of this festival suggests, Royal Ascot is a regal affair and is graced by the presence of Queen Elizabeth II each year. In what has been a tradition since the 1820s, the UK monarch arrives at Ascot at the beginning of each race day drawn by the Royal Carriage. It is arguably the most ‘traditional’ of all British horse racing festivals and has been a multi-day festival since 1749!

The trouble with analysing this festival is the sheer quantity of incredible races. There are seven Group One events alone, so I have decided to focus on three of the best races scheduled for the 2018 Royal Ascot.


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Gold Cup

Thursday 21 June

Although it takes place on day three of the festival, the Ascot Gold Cup remains the highlight of the week and is one of the biggest races in the British racing calendar. At 2m 3f and 210 yards, it is a classic test of stamina which was first run in 1807 when Master Jackey won it.

It is the first race in the Stayer’s Triple Crown (along with the Goodwood Cup and Doncaster Cup). The feat is seldom attempted and hasn’t been achieved since Double Trigger in 1995. Yeats is the most successful Gold Cup horse with four successive victories from 2006 to 2009.

Previous Winners

Year Winner Odds (SP)
2013 Estimate 7/2
2014 Leading Light 10/11
2015 Trip to Paris 12/1
2016 Order of St George 10/11
2017 Big Orange 5/1

Betting Trends and Information

There are 9 confirmed entries for the big race with 2016 winner Order of St George installed as joint 7/4 favourite with Stradivarius. Vazirabad is next at 9/2 with the rest of the field at 8/1+.

  • 17/21 winners finished in the top 3 in their previous race.
  • 19/21 winners were aged 4-6.
  • 13/21 winners were in the top 2 in the betting market.
  • 17/21 winners last ran 16-60 days before the race.
  • 19/21 winners had 0-2 season runs.

Recent history favours fancied Gold Cup horses and on paper it appears to be a two-horse race. Indeed, six of the nine horses are available at 8/1+ and it is hard to make a case for any of them. Vazirabad is probably the only realistic contender. If Order of St George runs at his best, he wins the race. However, he has been beaten several times at odds-on so punters are right to be wary. Even so, 15/8 looks like value!

Ascot Gold Cup Odds

Racebets.com ComeOn.com William Hill
Order of St George 7/4 7/4 7/4
Stradivarius 2/1 2/1 2/1
Vazirabad 5/1 9/2 9/2
Torcedor 8/1 8/1 9/1
Desert Skyline 12/1 12/1 12/1
Sheikhzayedroad 20/1 25/1 33/1
Max Dynamite 25/1 22/1 25/1
Mount Moriah 40/1 40/1 40/1
Scotland N/A 66/1 66/1
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Coronation Stakes

Friday 22 June

This is a race for 3yo fillies that takes place over 7f 213 yards. It was established in 1840 to commemorate the 1838 coronation of Queen Victoria. It was promoted to Group 1 status in 1988 and normally features fillies that ran in the UK or Irish versions of the 1,000 Guineas. Winter notably won both races in 2017 before triumphing in the Coronation Stakes.

Previous Winners

Year Winner Odds (SP)
2013 Sky Lantern 9/2
2014 Rizeena 11/2
2015 Ervedya 3/1
2016 Qemah 6/1
2017 Winter 4/9

Betting Trends and Information

There are 13 runners at the time of writing and in what promises to be an extremely competitive race, Alpha Centauri and Clemmie are joint-favourites at around 10/3 – 7/2 with Billesdon Brook next at 9/2. Teppal is the fourth favourite at 11/2 and the rest of the field is 10/1+.

  • 13/21 winners were in the first 2 in the betting market.
  • 15/21 winners last ran 16-60 days before the race.
  • 19/21 winners had 0-2 season runs.
  • 15/21 winners had an OR of 108+.

If you like the OR trend, it narrows the list of contenders down to just seven including the top five in the betting market. Billesdon Brook shocked the world by winning the 1,000 Guineas and while she commands respect, it is hard to see the unremarkable filly spring another surprise. The Aidan O’Brien trained Clemmie missed the 1,000 Guineas and is certainly a contender.

Coronation Stakes Odds

Racebets.com ComeOn.com William Hill
Clemmie 3/1 10/3 3/1
Alpha Centauri 10/3 7/2 7/2
Billesdon Brook 5/1 9/2 11/2
Teppal 11/2 5/1 5/1
Happily 10/1 14/1 10/1
Coeur De Beaute 10/1 9/1 10/1
Capla Temptress 11/1 12/1 12/1
Veracious 14/1 16/1 16/1
Could It Be Love 14/1 16/1 16/1
Threading 16/1 14/1 14/1
Anna Nerium 20/1 18/1 20/1
Whitefountainfairy 33/1 33/1 33/1
Aim Of Artemis 33/1 25/1 33/1
Adorable 33/1 22/1 25/1
Hence 50/1 50/1 40/1
Nkosikazi 100/1 100/1 100/1
Athena 100/1 100/1 100/1
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Diamond Jubilee Stakes

Saturday 23 June

This is a fast and furious six-furlong sprint open to all 4yo+ horses. It was first run in 1868 and was initially a Group 3 race in 1971 when the grading system was introduced. It was upgraded to Group 2 status in 1998 and achieved the coveted Group 1 accolade in 2002 to commemorate the Golden Jubilee of Queen Elizabeth II. Ten years later, it was renamed to celebrate Her Majesty’s Diamond Jubilee. Lester Piggott has ten wins in this race to go with his incredible 11 Gold Cup wins!

Previous Winners

Year Winner Odds (SP)
2013 Lethal Force 11/1
2014 Slade Power 7/2
2015 Undrafted 14/1
2016 Twilight Son 7/2
2017 The Tin Man 9/2

Betting Trends and Information

The Diamond Jubilee Stakes had 18 confirmed runners at the time of writing with Harry Angel as the 5/2 favourite. Merchant Navy is next in the betting market at 7/2 with the rest of the field 5/1+.

  • 11/21 winners have been drawn in stall 3, 4 or 6.
  • 20/21 winners won at odds of 5/2 or more.
  • 20/21 winners were aged 6 or less.
  • 11/21 winners came from outside the top 5 in the betting market.
  • 18/21 winners last ran 1-60 days before the race.
  • 19/21 winners had 0-2 season runs.

It is worth waiting for the draw because horses in stalls 3, 4 and 6 have an excellent recent record. While it isn’t enough to rule out a favourite, a good draw for one of the fancied horses could see its odds cut even further.

In a race known for producing long odds winners, it is worth looking down the field for value. If the ground is firm, the talented Limato is interesting at 16/1. Amongst the principals, Harry Angel was one of the sprinting sensations of 2017 and will be hard to beat at his best. Australian entry Redkirk Warrior has a good chance at 5/1 (even though his age may count against him) while last year’s winner, The Tin Man also warrants respect and could be a value wager at 8/1.

Diamond Jubilee Odds

  Racebets.com ComeOn.com William Hill
Harry Angel N/A 5/2 5/2
Merchant Navy 7/2 7/2 7/2
Redkirk Warrior 5/1 11/2 6/1
Blue Point 6/1 13/2 6/1
The Tin Man 9/1 10/1 10/1
Bound For Nowhere 10/1 10/1 10/1
Limato 12/1 14/1 10/1
Librisa Breeze 12/1 12/1 12/1
City Light 14/1 12/1 16/1
D’Bai 25/1 33/1 33/1
Spirit Of Valor 25/1 25/1 25/1
Projection 25/1 28/1 25/1
Gifted Master 33/1 28/1 25/1
Washington DC 33/1 33/1 33/1
Sir Dancealot 33/1 33/1 25/1
Dream Of Dreams 50/1 50/1 50/1
Donjuan Triumphant 50/1 50/1 50/1
Intelligence Cross 100/1 100/1 100/1
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